Mike Trout has a pretty good chance of joining one of the most exclusive fraternities in all of baseball.
There is little doubt that Trout should easily win the American League Rookie of the Year, and if he is able to win the Most Valuable Player, he will join Ichiro Suzuki and Fred Lynn as the only players to win both awards in their first season.
However, how good are his chances really?
Trout is currently hitting .327 with 27 home runs, 77 RBI and 46 stolen bases. His biggest competition will definitely come from Detroit Tigers third baseman Miguel Cabrera who is having one of the best years of his career.
Cabrera is hitting .333 with 40 home runs, 129 RBI and four stolen bases. These two men obviously fill different roles for their respective teams, and both could easily win this award.
However, Trout might have a little bit of an edge simply because of his youth. Cabrera has been a very good player for many years, and Trout just burst onto the scene. Nobody expects that type of production out of any rookie, and we have come to expect something like that from Cabrera. It might not be fair, but people do tend to enjoy seeing players breakout.
Another factor that might have an influence on this race could be playoff position. Both the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim and the Detroit Tigers are on the outside looking in on the playoff race. The chances of either team making the playoffs are admittedly slim. If either team is able to pull out a playoff spot, that could help swing the vote in their favor because there are people who believe that valuable players help their teams win.
It is going to be an interesting race this year, and while it is impossible to guarantee results, I think that the chances of Trout becoming only the third rookie to ever win both the Rookie of the Year and Most Valuable Player are actually pretty good.
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